Th4 Big 12 is now offically toast.
Texas A & M is leaving and that will start a mega rush to defect or other conferences to raid the conference.
Once the animal is injured, the jackel's show up.
The day of the mega conferences is rapidly approaching and I think it's bad for college football!
I don't know. It's certainly bad for schools left out of the superconferences, but in essence, with 4 superconferences: Pac-16, Big-16, SEC and Big Atlantic (BE/ACC) what you have is actually 8 conferences of 8 teams, with a mini-tournament (championship game) which will create a top 4 and a play-off becomes very do-able. Who' left out? Mountain West and WAC. I feel bad for Boise State. Pac-10 has already deemed their institution as not worthy, because of academics, so where do they go?
A few independent schools mix it up, Texas, Notre Dame, BYU and Navy.
One school I thought would get stung by this is Cincinatti. In my view, the Big East/ACC merger will not be a merger in the true sense, it will be a selection of Big East and ACC schools. They will also be looking at the basketball ramifications - since those two conferences are basketball giants, and other sports. Plus, it needs to be a particular kind of school academically. Ley's not forget that the vote comes from the academic side of the fence to moce conferences, not athletics - although, obviously the athletics are driving the financial part, which does lead to better funding for academics. When I move schools around in most of my scenarios, there was no room for Cincy with a 16 team cap in the conferences.
What we might find, is a merger of top tier C-USA, Mountain West, WAC and some other teams left out of the fold. A fifth Superconference - except, it will be a little brother in comparison. If you take the next 16 schools after the 64 superconference schools and the three top independents, we have? -- Boise State, Fresno State, Air Force, Nevada, Hawaii in the West, Cincy maybe Iowa State in Mid-West, Army, ECU in the East, and I've left a few off - still, you can easily see my point, from top to bottom, little comparison to the other 4 superconferences.
But the Big 12 could recover - believe it or not. Now, they lost TCU as an opportunity to add a school, but there are some schools to woo. Another model I drew up,I think on a bar napkin, had a fifth superconference if the Big 12 remained intact with the 10 they have. This came from my drawing up of conferences based on basketball and type of school. The Big 12 has shown that it can be the 3rd conference behind Big East and ACC in basketball (don't get mad SEC fans)- if those two conferences were to merge, Big 12 is the second best basketball conference. That alone could keep it together. Consider the Big East, a conference built on basketball - they're still treading water, even after the Miami, Boston College, VaTech defection several years back. In football, Big East was wounded, but alive - and improving. UConn will be a strong team competing. Same with USF.
Although unlikely, if Notre Dame was to move football into the Big East, it could be the beginning of a raid from the ACC. Take Maryland, a school that really hasn't benefited greatly by being in the ACC. They're always second in something. Except for the 2002 Basketball championship - how has it helped Maryland. Even in Lacrosse, which created a 4 team ACC (unrecognized) lacrosse league, it seems the other 3 schools have faired better in the relationship - where it's Maryland that should have the edge, historically. The DC Market is very much prized. The Big Ten is looking hard at Maryland,. Penn State has a history in most sports with them, because of geography (although in football it's an extremely lopsided "rivalry") and the Big Ten is so eager to get the DC market, they played a football game at FedEx Field last season - an Indiana home game against Penn State. If the Big East were to steal Maryland - something which would be good for Maryland Football, and Lacrosse would get to play SU, and it's an even swap in BAsketball -plus the cross town rivalry with G'town basketball, that would strengthen the Big East and poise it to raid the ACC along with the SEC doing some raiding of its own, scrapping up schools like FSU and Miami.
So, if the Big East still has breath, so does the Big 12.
(sorry for the long post, I'm home with my son today and he's napping right now, so...)